When it comes to the Federal government’s submarine replacement program, R.W. Chinnery finds the media commentary at the bottom of the Collins class.
The commentary by the media on the issue of whether Australia builds the replacement of the Collins class in Adelaide or buys them from Japan has once again demonstrated that they just don’t get it – they manage to miss the point on multiple levels.
The submarine replacement program, SEA1000, is about acquiring the best possible capability for the Royal Australian Navy for real warfare at the best possible price in reasonable time before a conflict catches us out with inadequate submarine capability.
To hear the Australian media talk about it, you would think the whole reason for having submarines is to create jobs for South Australia.
It is desirable to build Australian warships in Australia, but this must not be the overriding priority. Capability must come first and it must be delivered when the Navy needs it, not when industry is capable of supplying it.
The choice to build in Japan would be an unfortunate decision, bequeathed to the current government by a lack of urgency on the part of the former Labor government.
So much more needed to be done between 2009 and 2013. Worse, the little results that were achieved were two non-starters: a clean-sheet Australian design or a revamp of the Collins design – a waste of time.
However, all is not lost.
It seems unlikely that such a significant purchase (as many as ten boats according to the rumours) would not involve some significant degree of Australian work, if only out of political expediency. Here again, however, the media’s lack of initiation warps the discussion.
They talk about the choice to build here in Australia or Japan as if it were an either-or proposition. This demonstrates ignorance of modern shipbuilding practice, specifically, a failure to understand the important difference between construction and consolidation.
Ships are not necessarily built in once place any more. Different sections – modules to use the technical term – can be built by various shipyards, which send them to a primary contractor yard where the structure is put together – consolidated – and the various sub-systems are integrated into a cohesive unit.
This is neither a recent innovation nor a new practice of Australian naval shipbuilding. It is the way the Hobart class destroyers are being built. The Canberra class LHDs were built up to the flight deck in Navantia’s yard in Spain before being brought by heavy lift ship to BAE’s Williamstown yard for completion.
It is not hard to see an arrangement involving the construction of Australia’s first few boats at the already hot and running construction line in Japan, using some modules built in Adelaide.
This would allow ASC the time to “warm up” and build more of each successive boat with the transfer of the structural consolidation work from Japan to Australia from perhaps the fourth or fifth boat.
However, the government needs to be wary of overestimating the benefits of Japanese build and underestimating the challenges.
The Navy will inevitably want numerous modifications to the off-the-rack Soryu design, not the least of which would be swapping out the Japanese combat system for the US one the Navy wants.
The Soryus, though large for a non-nuclear sub, are not designed for operations far from home, the diametric opposite of what Australia needs. Increasing bunkerage (fuel storage) and crew provisions are likely to require significant alterations to their internal structure. Submarines are as intricate as Swiss watches, so such changes are not a minor undertaking.
Furthermore, their indiscretion rate (the frequency with which the snorkel must be raised to run their diesel generators) is relatively high due to the high power demands of their systems. The Japanese are working on an improved Soryu with longer-lasting and lighter Lithium ion batteries.
Of course, all of this may be just a government tactic to rattle the cage of the state-owned and heavily unionised shipbuilder ASC prior to negotiations.
Whatever the case, the media have let the public down big time. This is one of the biggest decisions any Australian government will make for decades…beyond actually joining a war between major powers. It would fundamentally change the nature of our relationship with China, who will no longer see us as a swayable player, therefore leaving Beijing with an incentive to play hardball with us, both diplomatically and commercially. We would be essentially making an informal strategic pact with Japan – more binding than any of the formal agreements we have now.
Many of Australia’s defence woes emerge from the myopic and parochial approach to defence taken by past politicians.
This is something the media ought to be challenging rather than validating.

There is no diesel powered submarine that meets our
requirements nor is it likely that Australia can design and build one. To meet
our requirements in 10+ years when it will be launched and then for another 30+
years after that, requires much more advanced technology than diesel power, The
only advanced technology for propulsion power that we can order today is
nuclear propulsion. Yes, there are
off-the-shelf submarines that meet or exceed our requirements but they are all,
without exception, nuclear powered. We do not need to have a nuclear industry
to own and operate nuclear powered submarines. The nuclear reactor will need to
be maintained by the supplier but the rest of the boat can be maintained in
Australia by Australians. Maintenance of the reactor is relatively infrequent –
quite unlike maintaining diesel engines. Any new submarine would need to be
fully integrated with the electronic combat and warfare systems already being
fitted to our Air Warfare Destroyers and F35 Joint Strike Fighter to leverage
the amazing capabilities when all these weapons platforms work together
seamlessly. When there is a single view of the ‘battlefield’ on land, on sea,
under sea and in the air. When the ever increasing sophistication of the
weapons and the computers that control them, work together to identify enemy
targets and select the most appropriate weapons to protect our assets, increase
the survivability of our ships, submarines and aircraft, and protect our brave
defence force personnel as well as the weapons we need to protect our country.
With the obvious tensions between Japan and China, clearly on display when Xi
Jinping met Shinzo Abe at G20, any attempt by Australia to acquire Japanese
boats will create immense annoyance to the Chinese. I would say it would annoy
them more than any other choice, bar none. The least cost option is likely to
be the one requiring the least modifications. Combining the capability and
survivability requirements with least modifications now and for the 30+ year
life of the boats, there is only one choice – the US Virginia class. A proven
design, advanced technology, exceeds all our requirements, providing the
biggest deterrent of any other choice, and a low cost. The USN recently ordered
10 for a price of USD$17.7Bn. 10 of these has more capability than 20 or more
diesel subs which would cost more than $40Bn. The Government owes it to all of
us and the country to include this option in their evaluation. Excluding the
obvious best submarine would be an incredibly bad decision. Making excuses to
exclude it is ostrich behaviour – it changes nothing. It still means we will
not have the best boat available. Arguing that the Americans won’t sell or
lease them to us without even asking is deception. I suspect the Republican
dominated Congress would be delighted to have a close ally having fully
compatible weapons systems in our region as it will lighten their load. Mr
Abbott, please deliver on your promise to select the best submarine and not the
best from a list that excludes the best.
Our Virginia class maintenance facilities can be used to
also maintain USN submarines which will be serving in this region in increasing
numbers to provide additional revenue and work in Australia. There are obvious
benefits in having USN subs maintained here to save the long return trip to the
USA.
You make a very good point Steve. The ANZACs are the same age as the Collins and will need replacement in a similar time frame even with the capabilities they are getting under the ASMD program. – It is a very pertinent question as to whether ASC is even able to cope with running the two projects simultaneously.
And remember the current government has put almost $80m into studying if the hard won (extra $500M) learning costs of building Air Warfare Destroyers in Port Adelaide can be converted into 8 more adapted hulls for ANZAC Frigate replacements.
Thus by my calculation Port Adelaide will get 8×7000 tons ship construction which is better than 10×4000 tons of Sub construction!
As I read the issues the Japanese will not sell the rights to build the Soryu hull from their special steel – just as the US will not sell us the rights to build the F-35 stealth coated fuselage sections. The best we could hope for is to learn how to weld together the hull sections made in Japan once the US combat system is installed.